Poll finds Haddad up by 11 percentage points, in tie with Bolsonaro in second round

Difference between Workers’ Party candidate and far-right contender is down to 9 percentage points in the first round

September 19, 2018 by Brasil de Fato
Ibope shows Workers’ Party candidate Fernando Haddad (right) and his running mate Manuela D’Ávila had the best performance over last week / Ricardo Stuckert

A new opinion poll released last Tuesday night by Ibope shows changes in the presidential race in Brazil, as the Workers’ Party candidate, Fernando Haddad, went up 11 percentage points since the last poll, from Sep. 11, and is now securing a second place with 19 percent of voter support.

After the country’s top electoral court barred ex-president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva from running for office, far-right candidate Jair Bolsonaro took the lead in the polls and now his support is at 28 percent, up by two percentage points since the last survey by Ibope. The difference between Haddad and Bolsonaro dropped to nine percentage points.

The poll shows centrist candidate Ciro Gomes and right-wing Geraldo Alckmin behind Haddad in a technical tie, with 11 and 7 percent, respectively. Center-right candidate Marina Silva’s support dropped from 9 percent last week to 6 percent.

The poll for the second round shows Bolsonaro and Haddad in a tie with 40 percent each. In last week’s poll, Haddad’s support was at 36 percent and Bolsonaro’s was at 40 percent.

Ibope conducted the poll between Sep. 16 and 18. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.